What is Central Limit Theorem?
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) says that if you take many random samples from any population and calculate their averages, those averages will form a bell-shaped (normal) distribution, even if the original data isn’t normal. This happens as long as the sample size is large enough (usually 30 or more).
Let's break it down
- Central Limit Theorem (CLT): a rule in statistics about how averages behave.
- Random samples: groups of data points picked without any pattern.
- Population: the whole set of things you could measure (e.g., all people’s heights).
- Averages (means): the sum of the numbers divided by how many there are.
- Bell-shaped (normal) distribution: a smooth curve that’s highest in the middle and tapers off equally on both sides.
- Large enough (≈30+): you need enough data points in each sample for the rule to work well.
Why does it matter?
Because it lets us use the normal distribution to make predictions and calculate probabilities even when we don’t know the exact shape of the original data. This makes statistical analysis much simpler and more reliable for everyday decisions.
Where is it used?
- Polling and surveys: estimating the average opinion of a whole population from a sample of voters.
- Quality control in manufacturing: checking if the average size of produced parts stays within limits.
- Finance: modeling the average return of a stock portfolio over time.
- Medical research: summarizing average effects of a treatment across many patients.
Good things about it
- Turns many different kinds of data into a common, easy-to-handle normal shape.
- Enables the use of simple formulas for confidence intervals and hypothesis tests.
- Works with relatively modest sample sizes (around 30).
- Provides a solid foundation for many other statistical methods.
- Helps to understand variability and risk in real-world situations.
Not-so-good things
- Requires independent, random samples; biased or correlated data can break the rule.
- Small sample sizes may not produce a good normal approximation.
- The theorem describes the distribution of averages, not the original data itself.
- Extreme outliers can distort the mean and affect the accuracy of the normal approximation.